ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Spatiotemporal Predictive Geo-Visualization of Criminal Activity for Application to Real-Time Systems for Crime Deterrence, Prevention and Control

Mayra Salcedo-Gonzalez    
Julio Suarez-Paez    
Manuel Esteve and Carlos Enrique Palau    

Resumen

This article presents the development of a geo-visualization tool, which provides police officers or any other type of law enforcement officer with the ability to conduct the spatiotemporal predictive geo-visualization of criminal activities in short and continuous time horizons, according to the real events that are happening: that is, for those geographical areas, time slots, and dates that are of interest to users, with the ability to consider individual events or groups of events. This work used real data collected by the Colombian National Police (PONAL); it constitutes a tool that is especially effective when applied to Real-Time Systems for crime deterrence, prevention, and control. For its creation, the spatial and temporal correlation of the events is carried out and the following deep learning techniques are employed: CNN-1D (Convolutional Neural Network-1D), MLP (multilayer perceptron), LSTM (long short-term memory), and the classical technique of VAR (vector autoregression), due to its appropriate performance in the multi-step and multi-parallel forecasting of multivariate time series with sparse data. This tool was developed with Open-Source Software (OSS) as it is implemented in the Python programming language with the corresponding machine learning libraries. It can be implemented with any geographic information system (GIS) and used in relation to other types of activities, such as natural disasters or terrorist activities.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Taghreed Alghamdi, Khalid Elgazzar and Taysseer Sharaf    
Hierarchical Bayesian models (HBM) are powerful tools that can be used for spatiotemporal analysis. The hierarchy feature associated with Bayesian modeling enhances the accuracy and precision of spatiotemporal predictions. This paper leverages the hierar... ver más
Revista: Future Internet

 
Fengzhen Sun, Shaojie Li, Shaohua Wang, Qingjun Liu and Lixin Zhou    
Predicting the futures from previous spatiotemporal data remains a challenging topic. There have been many previous works on predictive learning. However, mainstream models suffer from huge memory usage or the gradient vanishing problem. Enlightened by t... ver más

 
Ramandeep Kaur M. Malhi, Akash Anand, Prashant K. Srivastava, G. Sandhya Kiran, George P. Petropoulos and Christos Chalkias    
Forest degradation is considered to be one of the major threats to forests over the globe, which has considerably increased in recent decades. Forests are gradually getting fragmented and facing biodiversity losses because of climate change and anthropog... ver más

 
Daniel Feldmeyer, Claude Meisch, Holger Sauter and Joern Birkmann    
Socio-economic indicators are key to understanding societal challenges. They disassemble complex phenomena to gain insights and deepen understanding. Specific subsets of indicators have been developed to describe sustainability, human development, vulner... ver más

 
Yvonne Smit, Jasper J. A. Donker and Gerben Ruessink    
Understanding the spatiotemporal variability of surface moisture on a beach is a necessity to develop a quantitatively accurate predictive model for aeolian sand transport from the beach into the foredune. Here, we analyze laser-derived surface moisture ... ver más
Revista: Hydrology