Inicio  /  Hydrology  /  Vol: 9 Par: 7 (2022)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Drought Forecasting: A Review and Assessment of the Hybrid Techniques and Data Pre-Processing

Mustafa A. Alawsi    
Salah L. Zubaidi    
Nabeel Saleem Saad Al-Bdairi    
Nadhir Al-Ansari and Khalid Hashim    

Resumen

Drought is a prolonged period of low precipitation that negatively impacts agriculture, animals, and people. Over the last decades, gradual changes in drought indices have been observed. Therefore, understanding and forecasting drought is essential to avoid its economic impacts and appropriate water resource planning and management. This paper presents a recent literature review, including a brief description of data pre-processing, data-driven modelling strategies (i.e., univariate or multivariate), machine learning algorithms (i.e., advantages and disadvantages), hybrid models, and performance metrics. Combining various prediction methods to create efficient hybrid models has become the most popular use in recent years. Accordingly, hybrid models have been increasingly used for predicting drought. As such, these models will be extensively reviewed, including preprocessing-based hybrid models, parameter optimisation-based hybrid models, and hybridisation of components combination-based with preprocessing-based hybrid models. In addition, using statistical criteria, such as RMSE, MAE, NSE, MPE, SI, BIC, AIC, and AAD, is essential to evaluate the performance of the models.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Md. Shawkat I. Sohel, Mohammed Abdus Salam and John Herbohn    
In the face of global climate change, water availability and its impact on forest productivity is becoming an increasingly important issue. It is therefore necessary to evaluate the advancement of research in this field and to set new research priorities... ver más
Revista: Hydrology

 
Luc Descroix, Françoise Guichard, Manuela Grippa, Laurent A. Lambert, Gérémy Panthou, Gil Mahé, Laetitia Gal, Cécile Dardel, Guillaume Quantin, Laurent Kergoat, Yasmin Bouaïta, Pierre Hiernaux, Théo Vischel, Thierry Pellarin, Bakary Faty, Catherine Wilcox, Moussa Malam Abdou, Ibrahim Mamadou, Jean-Pierre Vandervaere, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Ousmane Ndiaye, Youssouph Sané, Honoré Dacosta, Marielle Gosset, Claire Cassé, Benjamin Sultan, Aliou Barry, Okechukwu Amogu, Bernadette Nka Nnomo, Alseny Barry and Jean-Emmanuel Patureladd Show full author list remove Hide full author list    
In the West African Sahel, two paradoxical hydrological behaviors have occurred during the last five decades. The first paradox was observed during the 1968?1990s ?Great Drought? period, during which runoff significantly increased. The second paradox app... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Zengchao Hao, Vijay P. Singh and Fanghua Hao    
Extreme events, such as drought, heat wave, cold wave, flood, and extreme rainfall, have received increasing attention in recent decades due to their wide impacts on society and ecosystems. Meanwhile, the compound extremes (i.e., the simultaneous or sequ... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Loretta Singletary, Kelley Sterle     Pág. 1 - 19
Assessing the drought resilience of snow-fed river dependent communities in the arid Western United States has taken on critical importance in response to changing climatic conditions. The process of assessing drought resiliency involves understanding th... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Tianjie Lei, Zhiguo Pang, Xingyong Wang, Lin Li, June Fu, Guangyuan Kan, Xiaolei Zhang, Liuqian Ding, Jiren Li, Shifeng Huang and Changliang Shao    
In recent years, the increased intensity and duration of droughts have dramatically altered the structure and function of grassland ecosystems, which have been forced to adapt to this change in climate. Combinations of global change drivers such as eleva... ver más
Revista: Water