Inicio  /  Hydrology  /  Vol: 10 Par: 2 (2023)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Assessing Hydrological Simulations with Machine Learning and Statistical Models

Evangelos Rozos    

Resumen

Machine learning has been used in hydrological applications for decades, and recently, it was proven to be more efficient than sophisticated physically based modelling techniques. In addition, it has been used in hybrid frameworks that combine hydrological and machine learning models. The concept behind the latter is the use of machine learning as a filter that advances the performance of the hydrological model. In this study, we employed such a hybrid approach but with a different perspective and objective. Machine learning was used as a tool for analyzing the error of hydrological models in an effort to understand the source and the attributes of systematic modelling errors. Three hydrological models were applied to three different case studies. The results of these models were analyzed with a recurrent neural network and with the k-nearest neighbours algorithm. Most of the systematic errors were detected, but certain types of errors, including conditional systematic errors, passed unnoticed, leading to an overestimation of the confidence of some erroneously simulated values. This is an issue that needs to be considered when using machine learning as a filter in hybrid networks. The effect of conditional systematic errors can be reduced by naively combining the simulations (mean values) of two or more hydrological models. This simple technique reduces the magnitude of conditional systematic errors and makes them more discoverable to machine learning models.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Yuan Wang, Xiaodan Shi and Takashi Oguchi    
Archaeological predictive modeling (APM) is an essential method for quantitatively assessing the probability of archaeological sites present in a region. It is a necessary tool for archaeological research and cultural heritage management. In particular, ... ver más

 
Shujuan Zhang, Tianyi Chen, Yuhai Bao, Qiang Tang, Yongtao Li and Xiubin He    
The impoundment of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) has greatly altered the hydrological regime and thus formed a distinctive riparian zone with anti-seasonal inundation and exposure, which may affect the soil aggregate properties in this riparian zone. ... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Farzaneh Soltani, Saman Javadi, Abbas Roozbahani, Ali Reza Massah Bavani, Golmar Golmohammadi, Ronny Berndtsson, Sami Ghordoyee Milan and Rahimeh Maghsoudi    
Assessing the status of water resources is essential for long-term planning related to water and many other needs of a country. According to climate reports, climate change is on the rise in all parts of the world; however, this phenomenon will have more... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Ali Sharifinejad and Elmira Hassanzadeh    
Assessing the impact of climate change on water systems often requires employing a hydrological model to estimate streamflow. However, the choice of hydrological model, process representation, input data resolution, and catchment discretization can poten... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Chenda Deng and Ryan T. Bailey    
Artificial recharge ponds have been used increasingly in recent years to store water in underlying aquifers and modify baseline groundwater gradients or alter natural hydrologic fluxes and state variables in an aquifer system. The number of constructed p... ver más
Revista: Hydrology