Redirigiendo al acceso original de articulo en 20 segundos...
Inicio  /  Water  /  Vol: 12 Par: 5 (2020)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

A Pragmatic Slope-Adjusted Curve Number Model to Reduce Uncertainty in Predicting Flood Runoff from Steep Watersheds

Muhammad Ajmal    
Muhammad Waseem    
Dongwook Kim and Tae-Woong Kim    

Resumen

The applicability of the curve number (CN) model to estimate runoff has been a conundrum for years, among other reasons, because it presumes an uncertain fixed initial abstraction coefficient (? = 0.2), and because choosing the most suitable watershed CN values is still debated across the globe. Furthermore, the model is widely applied beyond its originally intended purpose. Accordingly, there is a need for more case-specific adjustments of the CN values, especially in steep-slope watersheds with diverse natural environments. This study scrutinized the ? and watershed slope factor effect in estimating runoff. Our proposed slope-adjusted CN (CNIIa) model used data from 1779 rainstorm?runoff events from 39 watersheds on the Korean Peninsula (1402 for calibration and 377 for validation), with an average slope varying between 7.50% and 53.53%. To capture the agreement between the observed and estimated runoff, the original CN model and its seven variants were evaluated using the root mean square error (RMSE), Nash?Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), percent bias (PB), and 1:1 plot. The overall lower RMSE, higher NSE, better PB values, and encouraging 1:1 plot demonstrated good agreement between the observed and estimated runoff by one of the proposed variants of the CN model. This plausible goodness-of-fit was possibly due to setting ? = 0.01 instead of 0.2 or 0.05 and practically sound slope-adjusted CN values to our proposed modifications. For more realistic results, the effects of rainfall and other runoff-producing factors must be incorporated in CN value estimation to accurately reflect the watershed conditions.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Qiang Han, Tiansong Qi and Mosammat Mustari Khanaum    
Urbanization and climate change exacerbate groundwater overexploitation and urban flooding. The infiltration basin plays a significant role in protecting groundwater resources because it is a prevalent technology of managed aquifer recharge. It could als... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Pengxuan Zhao, Chuanhai Wang, Jinning Wu, Gang Chen, Tianshu Zhang, Youlin Li and Pingnan Zhang    
In the wake of frequent and intensive human activities, highly urbanized areas consistently grapple with severe water environmental challenges. It becomes imperative to establish corresponding water environment models for simulating and forecasting regio... ver más
Revista: Hydrology

 
Na Wei, Yuxin Peng, Kunming Lu, Guixing Zhou, Xingtao Guo and Minghui Niu    
The parallel reservoirs in the upper reach of the Hanjiang River are key projects for watershed management, development, and protection. The optimal operation of parallel reservoirs is a multiple-stage, multiple-objective, and multiple-decision attribute... ver más
Revista: Applied Sciences

 
Zhihui Tian, Ruoyi Zhang, Lili Wu, Yongji Wang, Jinjin Yang and Di Cao    
Climate change, population growth, and socio-economic transformations present multifaceted challenges to the water resource systems in the four major river basins of Henan Province. Consequently, to gain a comprehensive understanding of water security wi... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Rituraj Shukla, Ramesh Rudra, Prasad Daggupati, Colin Little, Alamgir Khan, Pradeep Goel and Shiv Prasher    
The effectiveness of existing and potential best management practices (BMPs) to cropped lands in the Jeannette Creek watershed (Thames River basin, Ontario, Canada) in reducing P loads at its pumped outlets was assessed using the Soil and Water Assessmen... ver más
Revista: Hydrology