ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept

Weiying Wang and Toshihiro Osaragi    

Resumen

Human movements have raised broad attention, and many models have been developed to reproduce them. However, most studies focus on reproducing the statistical properties of human mobility, such as the travel distance and the visiting frequency. In this paper, a two-step Markov Chain model is proposed to generate daily human movements, and spatial and spatiotemporal attributes of reproduced mobility are examined. In the first step, people?s statuses in the next time slot are conditioned on their previous travel patterns; and in the second step, individual location in such a slot is probabilistically determined based on his/her status. Our model successfully reproduces the spatial and spatiotemporal characteristics of human daily movements, and the result indicates that people?s future statuses can be inferred based on travel patterns they made, regardless of exactly where they have traveled, and when trips happen. We also revisit the energy concept, and show that the energy expenditure is stable over years. This idea is further used to predict the proportion of long-distance trips for each year, which gives insights into the probabilities of statuses in the next time slot. Finally, we interpret the constant energy expenditure as the constant ?cost? over years.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Gerald Albert Baeribameng Yiran, Martin Oteng Ababio, Albert Nii Moe Allotey, Richard Yao Kofie and Lasse Møller-Jensen    
Climate change seriously threatens human systems, properties and livelihoods. Global projections suggest a continuous increase in the frequency and severity of weather events, with severe outcomes. Although the trends and impacts are highly variable depe... ver más

 
Sheng Sheng, Qihui Chen, Jingjing Li and Hua Chen    
Climate change and human activities significantly impact the hydrological cycle, particularly in regions with numerous large-scale reservoirs. Recognizing the limitations of the reservoir module in the original SWAT model, this study presents an improved... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Giovanni De Luca and Giorgia Rivieccio    
Climate change is a significant environmental challenge that affects water resources, agriculture, health, and other aspects of human life. Bivariate modeling is a statistical method used to analyze the relationship between variables such as rainfall and... ver más
Revista: Hydrology

 
Nick Martin    
Weather attribution is a scientific study that estimates the relative likelihood of an observed weather event occurring under different climate regimes. Water budget models are widely used tools that can estimate future water resource management and cons... ver más
Revista: Hydrology

 
Ke Shang, Zeyu Wan, Yulin Zhang, Zhiwei Cui, Zihan Zhang, Chenchen Jiang and Feizhou Zhang    
The accurate and rapid prediction of parking availability is helpful for improving parking efficiency and to optimize traffic systems. However, previous studies have suffered from limited training sample sizes and a lack of thorough investigation into th... ver más