ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Predicting clear-sky global horizontal irradiance at eight locations in South Africa using four models

Evans Zhandire    

Resumen

Solar radiation under clear-sky conditions provides information about the maximum possible magnitude of the solar resource available at a location of interest. This information is useful for determining the limits of solar energy use in applications such as thermal and electrical energy generation. Measurements of solar irradiance to provide this information are limited by the associated cost. It is therefore of great interest and importance to develop models that generate these data in lieu of measurements. This study focused on four such models: Ineichen-Perez (I-P), European Solar Radiation Atlas model (ESRA), multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) models. These models were calibrated and tested using solar irradiance data measured at eight different locations in South Africa. The I-P model showed the best performance, recording relative root mean square errors of less than 2% across all hours, months and locations. The performances of the MLPNN and RBFNN were poor when averaged over all stations, but tended to show performance similar to that of the I-P model for some of the stations. The ESRA model showed performance that was in between that of the Artificial Neural Networks and that of the I-P model.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Kristian Balzer and David Watts    
Modern electrical power systems integrate renewable generation, with solar generation being one of the pioneers worldwide. In Latin America, the greatest potential and development of solar generation is found in Chile through the National Electric System... ver más

 
Lin Yang, Yansong Wang, Lei Wei and Yao Chen    
The spaceborne solar observation system is crucial for the study of space phenomena such as solar flares, which requires high tracking accuracy. This study presents a coupling model that integrates mechanical, electrical, and control models to investigat... ver más
Revista: Aerospace

 
Ping Liu, Wentao Shi, Bo Sun, Qian Wang, Xiaokun Xie and Changqing Li    
Burial stone relics remain in a humid, semi-enclosed environment for long periods, and temperature and humidity variations can cause deterioration acceleration. Yang Can?s tomb was selected as the research object, and field monitoring and simulations wer... ver más
Revista: Applied Sciences

 
Laura Moretti, Leonardo Palozza and Antonio D?Andrea    
No theoretical model effectively explains the blistering process, which provokes functional distress in asphalt pavements worldwide. This study focuses on the possible causes of blistering, the physical processes that drive blistering, the role of asphal... ver más
Revista: Applied Sciences

 
Chunhui Zhang, Wanyi Zhang, Chengjun Zhang, Liwei Zheng, Shiyi Yan, Yuanhao Ma and Wei Dang    
Variations in solar insolation caused by changes in the Earth?s orbit?specifically its eccentricity, obliquity, and precession?can leave discernible marks on the geologic record. Astrochronology leverages these markers to establish a direct connection be... ver más