ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Egyptian Intra Agriculture Trade with COMESA Trading Partners: A Gravity Model

Haider Mahmood    
Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb    
Nabil Maalel    

Resumen

The regional trade provides better environment for any country to achieve the trade objective instead of a total free trade in this modern age. This study investigates the determinants of Egyptian agriculture trade with her 20 COMESA trading partners by using data of 1990-2015 and by applying Pooled Mean Group Estimators (PMG) on gravity model. Our results are confirming the panel cointegration in our model. Egyptian GDP and population are negatively influencing to the agriculture balance of trade. COMESA trading partners? GDP and population have positive impact on the balance of trade. The exchange rate depreciation has unfavorable impact on agriculture balance of trade in the short run and has a favorable impact in long run. This is an evidence for presence of J-curve hypothesis in Egyptian trade in COMESA region and also showing an elastic behavior of exchange rate on balance of trade in the long run. Hence, this study recommends to Egyptian policy makers to adopt depreciation policy to correct agriculture balance of trade with COMESA trading partners.          Keywords: Agriculture Balance of Trade, COMESA, GDP, Panel CointegrationJEL Classifications: E01, C33, F14, F53

 Artículos similares

       
 
Mela Yila Dogo,Osman Nuri Aras     Pág. 68 - 73
We analyzed the effect of volatility in the Naira-Dollar exchange rate on the volume of imports to and exports from Nigeria between 1990 and 2019. Data for all variables, except volatility, were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the Nationa... ver más

 
Adisu Abebaw Degu     Pág. 246 - 257
This study examined the effect of sectoral output volatility on economic growth and the determinants of economic growth in the Ethiopian economy. The study used annual time series data spanning from 1981 to 2018 and included capital stock, work... ver más

 
Yarong Chen,Luca Sensini,Maria Vazquez     Pág. 40 - 46
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between leverage and its main determinants in the Argentine context, using the trade-off theory and the pecking order theory. Studies that have addressed this issue in emerging economies are st... ver más

 
Christine M. Haansende, Jacob M. Nyambe     Pág. Page:60 - 74Abstract

 
Muhammad Siddique(1), Ahsan Anwar(2), Muhammad Abdul Quddus(3), (1) National College of Business Administration and Economics, Punjab, Pakistan (2) National College of Business Administration and Economics, Punjab, Pakistan (3) National College of Business Administration and Economics, Punjab, Pakistan     Pág. 193 - 207