ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Long Memory Analysis: An Empirical Investigation

Rafik Nazarian    
Esmaeil Naderi    
Nadiya Gandali Alikhani    
Ashkan Amiri    

Resumen

This study is an attempt to review the theory and applications of autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) and fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (FIGARCH) models, mainly for the purpose of the description of the observed persistence in the mean and volatility of a time series. The long memory feature in FIGARCH models makes them a better candidate than other conditional heteroskedasticity models for modeling volatility in financial series. ARFIMA model also has a considerable capacity for modeling the return behavior of these time series. The daily data related to Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) index was used for the purpose of this study. Considering the fact that the existence of conditional heteroskedasticity effects were confirmed in the stock return series, robust regression technique was used for estimation of different ARFIMA models. Furthermore, different GARCH-type models were also compared. The results of ARFIMA model are indicative of the absence of long memory in return series of the TSE index and the results from FIGARCH model show evidence of long memory in conditional variance of this series. Keywords: stock market; long memory; ARFIMA; FIGARCH. JEL Classifications: C13; C59; G10; G17

 Artículos similares

       
 
Abdellilah Nafia, Abdellah Yousfi and Abdellah Echaoui    
In recent years, a great deal of attention has been devoted to the use of neural networks in portfolio management, particularly in the prediction of stock prices. Building a more profitable portfolio with less risk has always been a challenging task. In ... ver más

 
Michael Wood, Emanuele Ogliari, Alfredo Nespoli, Travis Simpkins and Sonia Leva    
Optimal behind-the-meter energy management often requires a day-ahead electric load forecast capable of learning non-linear and non-stationary patterns, due to the spatial disaggregation of loads and concept drift associated with time-varying physics and... ver más
Revista: Forecasting

 
Vienna N. Katambire, Richard Musabe, Alfred Uwitonze and Didacienne Mukanyiligira    
Traffic operation efficiency is greatly impacted by the increase in travel demand and the increase in vehicle ownership. The continued increase in traffic demand has rendered the importance of controlling traffic, especially at intersections. In general,... ver más
Revista: Forecasting

 
Haici Zhang    
Lehman Brothers? failure in 2008 demonstrated the importance of understanding interconnectedness in interbank networks. The interbank market plays a significant role in facilitating market liquidity and providing short-term funding for each other to smoo... ver más

 
Talal A. N. M. S. Alotaibi and Lucía Morales    
Global stock markets experienced a dual shock in 2020 due to the impact of the global health crisis, parallel to a simultaneous shock derived from the Saudi Arabia and Russia oil price war. The dual shock fueled oil market volatility with lasting effects... ver más