ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Land Use Prediction Using Markov ? Cellular Automata in the Peusangan Watershed, Aceh

Rini Fitri*    
Astrid Damayanti    
Nur Intan Simangunsong    
Munawir     
    

Resumen

The rate of population growth is a factor that causes changes in land use that impact land ecology due to increased population activities related to social, economic, and cultural aspects. Changes in land use aim to develop facilities and infrastructure to meet the population's needs. This research seeks to interpret land-use changes in 1999, 2008, and 2019 and predict land use in the Peusangan watershed in 2030. The map overlay method analyzes land use change in 1999-2008, 2008-2019, and 2019-2030. In predicting land use, this study uses the Cellular Automata approach. The results of the analysis specifically show that the trend of land use change until 2030 is a decrease in the area of forest land use covering an area of 11,014 ha (4.27%), open land covering an area of 31 ha (0.01%), shrubs 6,083 ha (2.36%), and water bodies covering an area of 459 ha. ha (0.18%). On the other hand, it is predicted that in 2030 the Peusangan watershed will see the largest increase in land use for plantations of 14,225 ha (5.52%), followed by land use of 1,664 ha (0.65%), 817 ha (0.32%), settlements covering 710 ha (0.28%), 132 ha of rice fields (0.05%), and 28 ha of pond land use (0.01%).The results of this study are expected to be input for policy makers regarding land use planning in the Peusangan watershed in the future.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Sofia Eckersten, Berit Balfors     Pág. 409 - 435
Drawing on examples from the Nordic countries, this article aims to explore the practical application of strategic policy and planning instruments and approaches that facilitate the integration of land use and transport planning and promote sustainable p... ver más

 
Clemens A. Pilgram, Sarah E. West     Pág. 267?292
Transit station area land-use characteristics can increase or decrease the perceived costs of riding rail relative to driving or taking other modes. This paper focuses on those characteristics that create discomfort to riders who are walking between stat... ver más

 
Yushan Zhang, Dena Kasraian, Pieter van Wesemael     Pág. 293?317
Recent innovations in business models and technology have brought out new mobility systems, including shared and electric micro-mobility. A rapidly expanding strand of literature mirrors the micro-mobility?s exponential growth and popularity. While many ... ver más

 
Eric Fotsing,Severin Vianey Tuekam Kakeu,Eric Desire Kameni,Marcellin Julius Antonio Nkenlifack     Pág. 16 - 37
Nowadays, there is an increasing need to rapidly build more realistic models to solve environmental problems in an interdisciplinary context. In particular, agent-based and spatial modeling have proven to be useful for understanding land use and land cov... ver más

 
Basil Vitins, Alexander Erath     Pág. 241 - 265
Destination choice models are a key component of any transport and land-use model. Applications in agent-based models allow for destination choice on an individual level including personal variables, like trip purpose, or situational variables. Commonly ... ver más