Inicio  /  Water  /  Vol: 9 Núm: 5 Par: 0 (2017)  /  Artículo
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

Flood Loss Models and Risk Analysis for Private Households in Can Tho City, Vietnam

Do Thi Chinh    
Nguyen Viet Dung    
Animesh K. Gain    
Heidi Kreibich    

Resumen

Vietnam has a long history and experience with floods. Flood risk is expected to increase further due to climatic, land use and other global changes. Can Tho City, the cultural and economic center of the Mekong delta in Vietnam, is at high risk of flooding. To improve flood risk analyses for Vietnam, this study presents novel multi-variable flood loss models for residential buildings and contents and demonstrates their application in a flood risk assessment for the inner city of Can Tho. Cross-validation reveals that decision tree based loss models using the three input variables water depth, flood duration and floor space of building are more appropriate for estimating building and contents loss in comparison with depth?damage functions. The flood risk assessment reveals a median expected annual flood damage to private households of US$3340 thousand for the inner city of Can Tho. This is approximately 2.5% of the total annual income of households in the study area. For damage reduction improved flood risk management is required for the Mekong Delta, based on reliable damage and risk analyses.

 Artículos similares

       
 
Meenakshi Arora, Ishitha Chopra, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Priyaga Fernando, Matthew J. Burns and Timothy D. Fletcher    
Permeable pavement (PP) systems have been shown to provide onsite stormwater management as well as contaminant removal benefits. Therefore, significant research has taken place in recent years to analyse the performance of these structures in terms of th... ver más
Revista: Water

 
James Yang, Shicheng Li, Anna Helgesson, Erik Skepparkrans and Anders Ansell    
The piano key (PK) weir is a cost-effective structure for flood discharge. Its typical layout comprises a rectangularly cranked crest in planform with up- and downstream overhangs. With the intention to enhance its hydraulic efficiency, the conventional ... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Yue Zhang, Zimo Zhou, Jesse Van Griensven Thé, Simon X. Yang and Bahram Gharabaghi    
Climate change and urbanization have increased the frequency of floods worldwide, resulting in substantial casualties and property loss. Accurate flood forecasting can offer governments early warnings about impending flood disasters, giving them a chance... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Riku Kubota, Jin Kashiwada and Yasuo Nihei    
In recent years, large-scale heavy rainfall disasters have occurred frequently in several parts of the world. Therefore, a quantitative approach to understanding how buildings are damaged during floods is necessary to develop appropriate flood-resistant ... ver más
Revista: Water

 
Agnes W. Brokerhof, Renate van Leijen and Berry Gersonius    
This paper describes the development and trial of a method (Quick Flood Risk Scan method) to determine the vulnerable value of monuments for flood risk assessment. It was developed in the context of the European Flood Directive for the Dutch Flood Risk M... ver más
Revista: Water