Portada: Infraestructura para la Logística Sustentable 2050
DESTACADO | CPI Propone - Resumen Ejecutivo

Infraestructura para el desarrollo que queremos 2026-2030

Elaborado por el Consejo de Políticas de Infraestructura (CPI), este documento constituye una hoja de ruta estratégica para orientar la inversión y la gestión de infraestructura en Chile. Presenta propuestas organizadas en siete ejes estratégicos, sin centrarse en proyectos específicos, sino en influir en las decisiones de política pública para promover una infraestructura que conecte territorios, genere oportunidades y eleve la calidad de vida de la población.
ARTÍCULO
TITULO

A Quantile Regression Random Forest-Based Short-Term Load Probabilistic Forecasting Method

Sanlei Dang    
Long Peng    
Jingming Zhao    
Jiajie Li and Zhengmin Kong    

Resumen

In this paper, a novel short-term load forecasting method amalgamated with quantile regression random forest is proposed. Comprised with point forecasting, it is capable of quantifying the uncertainty of power load. Firstly, a bespoke 2D data preprocessing taking advantage of empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is presented. It can effectively assist subsequent point forecasting models to extract spatial features hidden in the 2D load matrix. Secondly, by exploiting multimodal deep neural networks (DNN), three short-term load point forecasting models are conceived. Furthermore, a tailor-made multimodal spatial?temporal feature extraction is proposed, which integrates spatial features, time information, load, and electricity price to obtain more covert features. Thirdly, relying on quantile regression random forest, the probabilistic forecasting method is proposed, which exploits the results from the above three short-term load point forecasting models. Lastly, the experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms its conventional counterparts.

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Revista: Atmosphere