How will AI change intelligence and decision-making?

Avner Barnea    


The world is facing a rapid pace of changes with a heightened sense of uncertainty, ambiguity, and complexity in both government and business landscapes.  New threats and major changes in the world order are creating an external environment that demands closer monitoring and greater anticipatory and predictive skills.  Deeper analysis and speed of action are becoming more important for agile organizations and governments. The needs to upgrade the capabilities of intelligence analysts, mostly in strategic intelligence, have been known for quite a long time. Scholars who are looking into intelligence failures1 and other major national security2 and business3 events when decision-makers were not warned in time, seek expert tools and methodologies to avoid these failures4. Management is constantly concerned, aspiring to receive better decisions by relying on solid analysis in order to better understand the challenges ahead5. The current direction is in the same direction, while new emerging technologies enable theory and practice to move forward. Artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities definitely are jumping two stairs up. It looks that through new AI tools, the value of humans will not become redundant but rather improve its outcomes by relying on better intelligence for their decisions.

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