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Zhi-Weng Chua, Yuriy Kuleshov and Jessica Bhardwaj
Most existing drought forecast systems rely only on observed or forecast rainfall, losing valuable context gained from considering both. The lack of a direct link between observed and forecast rainfall reduces the physical consistency of a system, motiva...
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Chenkai Cai, Yi?an Hua, Huibin Yang, Jing Wang, Changhuai Wu, Helong Wang and Xinyi Shen
Ecological droughts in rivers, as a new type of drought, have been greatly discussed in the past decade. Although various studies have been conducted to identify and evaluate ecological droughts in rivers from different indices, a forecast model for this...
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Felipe Duque, Greg O?Donnell, Yanli Liu, Mingming Song and Enda O?Connell
Polders are low-lying areas located in deltas, surrounded by embankments to prevent flooding (river or tidal floods). They rely on pumping systems to remove water from the inner rivers (artificial rivers inside the polder area) to the outer rivers, espec...
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Carla Sahori Seefoo Jarquin, Alessandro Gandelli, Francesco Grimaccia and Marco Mussetta
Understanding how, why and when energy consumption changes provides a tool for decision makers throughout the power networks. Thus, energy forecasting provides a great service. This research proposes a probabilistic approach to capture the five inherent ...
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Weinan Huang, Xiaowen Zhu, Haofeng Xia and Kejian Wu
In wind resource assessment research, mixture models are gaining importance due to the complex characteristics of wind data. The precision of parameter estimations for these models is paramount, as it directly affects the reliability of wind energy forec...
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Luigi Bertoli, Donata Balzarolo and Ezio Todini
Rational Water Resources Management requires effective collaboration between decision-makers involved in the operational management of water resources and scientists, who can allow them to operate in an informed manner through forecasting and decision-ma...
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Paolo Reggiani, Amal Talbi and Ezio Todini
In Water Resources Planning and Management, decision makers, although unsure of future outcomes, must take the most reliable and assuring decisions. Deterministic and probabilistic prediction techniques, combined with optimization tools, have been widely...
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Marino Marrocu and Luca Massidda
Rainfall forecasting plays a key role in mitigating environmental risks in urban areas, which are subject to increasing hydrogeological risk due to transformations in the urban landscape. We present a new technique for probabilistic precipitation nowcast...
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Tae-Ho Kang, Ashish Sharma and Lucy Marshall
The verification of probabilistic forecasts in hydro-climatology is integral to their development, use, and adoption. We propose here a means of utilizing goodness of fit measures for verifying the reliability of probabilistic forecasts. The difficulty i...
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Stephen Haben, Julien Caudron and Jake Verma
The energy sector is moving towards a low-carbon, decentralised, and smarter network. The increased uptake of distributed renewable energy and cheaper storage devices provide opportunities for new local energy markets. These local energy markets will req...
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