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Moacyr Machado Cardoso Junior
Pág. 411 - 439
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Klaus Solberg Søilen
There are many things that are good about this book. Philip E Tetlock is a scholar with an impressive number of publications and citation. The book is well-written and easy to read, but that is also the best that can be said.The book falls into a long li...
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Sebastien Lleo and William T. Ziemba
Financial disasters to hedge funds, bank trading departments and individual speculative traders and investors seem to always occur because of non-diversification in all possible scenarios, being overbet and being hit by a bad scenario. Black swans are th...
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Martin Nuñez, Ramiro Logares
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Brian Huffman
Pág. 53 - 61
Business results are dominated by "Black Swans" (low-probability/high-impact events) both positive and negative. Black Swans cannot be predicted although they look predictable in retrospect. This paper focuses on the negative Black Swans, the disasters. ...
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