Inicio  /  Water  /  Vol: 10 Núm: 2 Par: 0 (2018)  /  Artículo

Multiple Climate Change Scenarios and Runoff Response in Biliu River

Xueping Zhu    
Chi Zhang    
Wei Qi    
Wenjun Cai    
Xuehua Zhao and Xueni Wang    


The impacts of temperature and precipitation changes on regional evaporation and runoff characteristics have been investigated for the Biliu River basin, which is located in Liaoning Province, northeast China. Multiple climate change scenarios from phase 3 and phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3 and CMIP5) (21 scenarios in total) were utilized. A calibrated hydrologic model?SWAT model?was used to simulate future discharges based on downscaled climate data through a validated morphing method. Results show that both annual temperature and precipitation increase under most of the CMIP3 and CMIP5 scenarios, and increase more in the far future (2041?2065) than in the near future (2016?2040). These changes in precipitation and temperature lead to an increase in evaporation under 19 scenarios and a decrease in runoff under two-thirds of the selected scenarios. Compared to CMIP3, CMIP5 scenarios show higher temperature and wider ranges of changes in precipitation and runoff. The results provide important information on the impacts of global climate change on water resources availability in the Biliu River basin, which is beneficial for the planning and management of water resources in this region.

 Artículos similares

Alistair Ford, Richard Dawson, Phil Blythe, Stuart Barr    
The adoption of the Paris Agreement has committed the world to limiting anthropogenic climate change to 2°C above preindustrial levels, adapting to climate risks, and fostering climate resilience. Given the high proportion of global emissions released by... ver más

Bruna Irene Grimberg, Selena Ahmed, Colter Ellis, Zachariah Miller and Fabian Menalled    
This study explored whether Montana agricultural stakeholders? perceptions and observations of climate change vary according to four socio-ecological variables: income, political view, agricultural occupation, and production region. A survey including 27... ver más
Revista: Sustainability

Ruth M. Saint, Céline Garnier, Francesco Pomponi and John Currie    
Solar thermal systems are a long-standing technology that is receiving increased attention, in terms of research and development, due to ambitious climate change targets and the need for renewable energy solutions. Integrated collector-storage solar wate... ver más
Revista: Energies

Yeri Choi, Sugie Lee and Hyunbin Moon    
Urban heat island effects, which are the phenomenon wherein higher ambient air temperatures are measured in cities than in rural areas, have worsened urban thermal environments over the past decades. This study aims to analyze the effects of urban physic... ver más

Guy M. Robinson, Douglas K. Bardsley, Christopher M. Raymond, Tegan Underwood, Emily Moskwa, Delene Weber, Nicolette Waschl and Annette M. Bardsley    
This paper reports on results from two major research projects conducted in South Australia. The first investigates adaptation to climate change in two of the state?s major grain and sheep farming regions, using semi-structured interviews and focus group... ver más
Revista: Environments